H.Con.Res. 75 — Directing the President, pursuant to section 5(c) of the War Powers Resolution, to remove the United States Armed Forces from hostilities against the Islamic Republic of Iran.

—becomes law high confidencepending: House recent_floor

Directing the President, pursuant to section 5(c) of the War Powers R… — active on the floor, quiet for 23 days; — to reach the floor, — to become law.

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reaches a floor vote

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passes if voted (stage model)

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survives downstream

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becomes law

If it reaches the floor

majority

Projected 327 yea of 430 voting; 90% interval 199–417 (quartiles 254–402). Intervals are backtest-verified to cover ~90%.

By floor procedure

No vote is scheduled, so the headline marginalizes over how the House would take it up; the branches:

Procedure	Likelihood	Projected yea	Passes
resolution	34%	269 [155–404]	79%
suspension	66%	358 [225–418]	99%

Receipts

Sponsor: Josh Gottheimer (D). Latest action (2026-05-14): Motion to reconsider laid on the table Agreed to without objection.
Full record: Congress.gov.

Forecast run predict-20260606T193507Z · models member-vote-1.0.0-t117d118-20260606 + passage-1.0.0-t117d118-20260606 · conditional whip forecasts for the Senate run at moderate confidence (why).