H.Con.Res. 96 — Expressing support for law enforcement officers.

<1%becomes law moderate confidencepending: Senate passed_one_chamber

Expressing support for law enforcement officers. — through the House, now needs 60 in the Senate: P(≥60) 52% puts enactment at <1%.

✓

passed the House

→

<1%

downstream: Senate + President

<1%

becomes law

If it reaches the floor

majority

60 (cloture)

Projected 68 yea of 100 voting; 90% interval 47–95 (quartiles 53–86). Intervals are backtest-verified to cover ~90%.

Filibusterable: the realistic Senate line is 60 votes — P(≥60) = 52% (simple-majority P = 94%).

By floor procedure

No vote is scheduled, so the headline marginalizes over how the Senate would take it up; the branches:

Procedure	Likelihood	Projected yea	Passes
conference	11%	72 [49–96]	95%
passage	59%	67 [47–94]	93%
resolution	30%	69 [47–96]	94%

Receipts

Sponsor: Zachary Nunn (R). Latest action (2026-05-14): Received in the Senate.
Full record: Congress.gov.

Forecast run predict-20260606T193507Z · models member-vote-1.0.0-t117d118-20260606 + passage-1.0.0-t117d118-20260606 · conditional whip forecasts for the Senate run at moderate confidence (why).