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H.J.Res. 78 — Providing for congressional disapproval under chapter 8 of title 5, United States Code, of the rule submitted by the United States Fish and Wildlife Service relating to "Endangered and Threatened Wildlife and Plants; En…
10%becomes law
moderate confidencepending: Senate
passed_one_chamber
Providing for congressional disapproval under chapter 8 of title 5, U… — privileged, so 51 senators settle it: 93% on the floor, 10% to stick downstream.
→
10%
downstream: Senate + President
If it reaches the floor
Projected 63 yea of 100 voting; 90% interval 46–92
(quartiles 52–78). Intervals are backtest-verified to cover ~90%.
Privileged measure (CRA / reconciliation / similar):
not filibusterable — a simple majority is the real line.
By floor procedure
No vote is scheduled, so the headline marginalizes over how the
Senate would take it up; the branches:
| Procedure | Likelihood |
Projected yea | Passes |
|---|
| conference | 2% |
62 [44–91] |
92% |
| passage | 7% |
59 [44–86] |
90% |
| resolution | 90% |
64 [47–93] |
93% |
Receipts
Sponsor: Doug LaMalfa (R). Latest action (2025-05-05):
Received in the Senate.
Full record: Congress.gov.
Forecast run predict-20260606T193507Z · models
member-vote-1.0.0-t117d118-20260606 +
passage-1.0.0-t117d118-20260606 · conditional whip forecasts for the
Senate run at moderate confidence (why).