← all forecasts
H.R. 1372 — To designate the facility of the United States Postal Service located at 300 Macedonia Lane in Knoxville, Tennessee, as the "Reverend Harold Middlebrook Post Office Building".
59%becomes law
moderate confidencepending: Senate
passed_one_chamber
To designate the facility of the United States Postal Service located… — through the House, now needs 60 in the Senate: P(≥60) 41% puts enactment at 59%.
→
59%
downstream: Senate + President
If it reaches the floor
Projected 62 yea of 100 voting; 90% interval 46–91
(quartiles 51–74). Intervals are backtest-verified to cover ~90%.
Filibusterable: the realistic Senate line is
60 votes — P(≥60) = 41%
(simple-majority P = 93%).
By floor procedure
No vote is scheduled, so the headline marginalizes over how the
Senate would take it up; the branches:
| Procedure | Likelihood |
Projected yea | Passes |
|---|
| conference | 19% |
64 [47–94] |
94% |
| passage | 81% |
61 [46–90] |
93% |
Receipts
Sponsor: Tim Burchett (R). Latest action (2025-12-10):
Received in the Senate and Read twice and referred to the Committee on Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs.
Full record: Congress.gov.
Forecast run predict-20260606T193507Z · models
member-vote-1.0.0-t117d118-20260606 +
passage-1.0.0-t117d118-20260606 · conditional whip forecasts for the
Senate run at moderate confidence (why).