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H.R. 2076 — Lulu’s Law
7%becomes law
high confidencepending: House
on_calendar
Lulu’s Law — real floor momentum (70% to a vote, on the calendar, quiet for 58 days); 95% if called.
×
>99%
passes if voted (stage model)
If it reaches the floor
Projected 310 yea of 430 voting; 90% interval 208–415
(quartiles 223–394). Intervals are backtest-verified to cover ~90%.
By floor procedure
No vote is scheduled, so the headline marginalizes over how the
House would take it up; the branches:
| Procedure | Likelihood |
Projected yea | Passes |
|---|
| passage | 38% |
279 [200–403] |
90% |
| suspension | 62% |
328 [212–417] |
98% |
Receipts
Sponsor: Gary J. Palmer (R). Latest action (2026-04-09):
Placed on the Union Calendar, Calendar No. 518.
Full record: Congress.gov.
Forecast run predict-20260606T193507Z · models
member-vote-1.0.0-t117d118-20260606 +
passage-1.0.0-t117d118-20260606 · conditional whip forecasts for the
Senate run at moderate confidence (why).