H.R. 2262 — Flexibility for Workers Education Act

—becomes law high confidencepending: House on_calendar

Flexibility for Workers Education Act — on the calendar, quiet for 144 days; — to reach the floor, — to become law.

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reaches a floor vote

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passes if voted (stage model)

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survives downstream

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becomes law

If it reaches the floor

majority

Projected 279 yea of 430 voting; 90% interval 204–408 (quartiles 213–361). Intervals are backtest-verified to cover ~90%.

By floor procedure

No vote is scheduled, so the headline marginalizes over how the House would take it up; the branches:

Procedure	Likelihood	Projected yea	Passes
passage	38%	257 [202–386]	88%
suspension	62%	293 [204–410]	93%

Receipts

Sponsor: Ashley Hinson (R). Latest action (2026-01-13): Motion to reconsider laid on the table Agreed to without objection.
Full record: Congress.gov.

Forecast run predict-20260606T193507Z · models member-vote-1.0.0-t117d118-20260606 + passage-1.0.0-t117d118-20260606 · conditional whip forecasts for the Senate run at moderate confidence (why).