H.R. 2488 — To designate the facility of the United States Postal Service located at 3817 Marysville Boulevard in Sacramento, California, as the "Grantland Johnson Post Office".

57%becomes law high confidencepending: House reported

To designate the facility of the United States Postal Service located… — real floor momentum (73% to a vote, reported and queued, quiet for 38 days); 95% if called.

73%

reaches a floor vote

>99%

passes if voted (stage model)

79%

survives downstream

57%

becomes law

If it reaches the floor

majority

Projected 338 yea of 430 voting; 90% interval 209–417 (quartiles 282–404). Intervals are backtest-verified to cover ~90%.

By floor procedure

No vote is scheduled, so the headline marginalizes over how the House would take it up; the branches:

Procedure	Likelihood	Projected yea	Passes
passage	38%	300 [183–413]	90%
suspension	62%	360 [228–419]	98%

Receipts

Sponsor: Ami Bera (D). Latest action (2026-04-29): Ordered to be Reported by Voice Vote.
Full record: Congress.gov.

Forecast run predict-20260606T193507Z · models member-vote-1.0.0-t117d118-20260606 + passage-1.0.0-t117d118-20260606 · conditional whip forecasts for the Senate run at moderate confidence (why).