H.R. 5079 — Widespread Information Management for the Welfare of Infrastructure and Government Act

<1%becomes law high confidencepending: House reported

Information Management for the Welfare of Infrastructure an… — would clear the House (94%) but only 4% to ever get the vote.

reaches a floor vote

99%

passes if voted (stage model)

survives downstream

<1%

becomes law

The gap: on the floor this would pass — 94% by the member-vote simulation — but the floor is the hard part: 4% to ever get the vote. That gap, not the whip count, is the story.

If it reaches the floor

majority

Projected 306 yea of 430 voting; 90% interval 206–414 (quartiles 223–392). Intervals are backtest-verified to cover ~90%.

By floor procedure

No vote is scheduled, so the headline marginalizes over how the House would take it up; the branches:

Procedure	Likelihood	Projected yea	Passes
passage	38%	287 [197–408]	91%
suspension	62%	317 [210–416]	96%

Receipts

Sponsor: Andrew R. Garbarino (R). Latest action (2025-09-03): Ordered to be Reported (Amended) by the Yeas and Nays: 25 - 0.
Full record: Congress.gov.

Forecast run predict-20260606T193507Z · models member-vote-1.0.0-t117d118-20260606 + passage-1.0.0-t117d118-20260606 · conditional whip forecasts for the Senate run at moderate confidence (why).