H.R. 6019 — To repeal certain provisions relating to notification to Senate offices regarding legal process on disclosure of Senate data, and for other purposes.

11%becomes law moderate confidencepending: Senate passed_one_chamber

To repeal certain provisions relating to notification to Senate offic… — through the House, now needs 60 in the Senate: P(≥60) 40% puts enactment at 11%.

✓

passed the House

→

11%

downstream: Senate + President

11%

becomes law

If it reaches the floor

majority

60 (cloture)

Projected 61 yea of 100 voting; 90% interval 48–89 (quartiles 52–71). Intervals are backtest-verified to cover ~90%.

Filibusterable: the realistic Senate line is 60 votes — P(≥60) = 40% (simple-majority P = 94%).

By floor procedure

No vote is scheduled, so the headline marginalizes over how the Senate would take it up; the branches:

Procedure	Likelihood	Projected yea	Passes
conference	19%	62 [48–92]	94%
passage	81%	60 [48–88]	94%

Receipts

Sponsor: Austin Scott (R). Latest action (2025-11-20): Received in the Senate.
Full record: Congress.gov.

Forecast run predict-20260606T193507Z · models member-vote-1.0.0-t117d118-20260606 + passage-1.0.0-t117d118-20260606 · conditional whip forecasts for the Senate run at moderate confidence (why).