H.R. 6310 — To designate the facility of the United States Postal Service located at 3570 Olney Laytonsville Road in Olney, Maryland, as the "Edward L. Ramsey Olney Post Office Building".

78%becomes law moderate confidencepending: Senate passed_one_chamber

To designate the facility of the United States Postal Service located… — through the House, now needs 60 in the Senate: P(≥60) 55% puts enactment at 78%.

✓

passed the House

→

78%

downstream: Senate + President

78%

becomes law

If it reaches the floor

majority

60 (cloture)

Projected 66 yea of 100 voting; 90% interval 37–96 (quartiles 53–82). Intervals are backtest-verified to cover ~90%.

Filibusterable: the realistic Senate line is 60 votes — P(≥60) = 55% (simple-majority P = 87%).

By floor procedure

No vote is scheduled, so the headline marginalizes over how the Senate would take it up; the branches:

Procedure	Likelihood	Projected yea	Passes
conference	19%	71 [46–96]	92%
passage	81%	64 [36–95]	86%

Receipts

Sponsor: Jamie Raskin (D). Latest action (2026-04-15): Received in the Senate and Read twice and referred to the Committee on Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs.
Full record: Congress.gov.

Forecast run predict-20260606T193507Z · models member-vote-1.0.0-t117d118-20260606 + passage-1.0.0-t117d118-20260606 · conditional whip forecasts for the Senate run at moderate confidence (why).