H.R. 647 — Ensuring Veterans’ Final Resting Place Act of 2025

5%becomes law high confidencepending: House on_calendar

Ensuring Veterans’ Final Resting Place Act — would clear the House (97%) but only 11% to ever get the vote.

11%

reaches a floor vote

99%

passes if voted (stage model)

52%

survives downstream

becomes law

The gap: on the floor this would pass — 97% by the member-vote simulation — but the floor is the hard part: 11% to ever get the vote. That gap, not the whip count, is the story.

If it reaches the floor

majority

Projected 325 yea of 430 voting; 90% interval 211–417 (quartiles 247–404). Intervals are backtest-verified to cover ~90%.

By floor procedure

No vote is scheduled, so the headline marginalizes over how the House would take it up; the branches:

Procedure	Likelihood	Projected yea	Passes
passage	38%	290 [203–407]	92%
suspension	62%	345 [220–418]	>99%

Receipts

Sponsor: Rudy Yakym III (R). Latest action (2025-10-17): Placed on the Union Calendar, Calendar No. 295.
Full record: Congress.gov.

Forecast run predict-20260606T193507Z · models member-vote-1.0.0-t117d118-20260606 + passage-1.0.0-t117d118-20260606 · conditional whip forecasts for the Senate run at moderate confidence (why).