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H.R. 6808 — To designate the facility of the United States Postal Service located at 417 West 7th Street in Columbia, Tennessee, as the "Pharmacist's Mate First Class John Harlan Willis Post Office Building".
62%becomes law
moderate confidencepending: Senate
passed_one_chamber
To designate the facility of the United States Postal Service located… — through the House, now needs 60 in the Senate: P(≥60) 40% puts enactment at 62%.
→
62%
downstream: Senate + President
If it reaches the floor
Projected 61 yea of 100 voting; 90% interval 45–90
(quartiles 51–73). Intervals are backtest-verified to cover ~90%.
Filibusterable: the realistic Senate line is
60 votes — P(≥60) = 40%
(simple-majority P = 91%).
By floor procedure
No vote is scheduled, so the headline marginalizes over how the
Senate would take it up; the branches:
| Procedure | Likelihood |
Projected yea | Passes |
|---|
| conference | 19% |
63 [46–92] |
92% |
| passage | 81% |
60 [44–89] |
91% |
Receipts
Sponsor: Andrew Ogles (R). Latest action (2026-04-15):
Received in the Senate and Read twice and referred to the Committee on Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs.
Full record: Congress.gov.
Forecast run predict-20260606T193507Z · models
member-vote-1.0.0-t117d118-20260606 +
passage-1.0.0-t117d118-20260606 · conditional whip forecasts for the
Senate run at moderate confidence (why).