H.R. 7388 — Smart Space Act of 2026

15%becomes law moderate confidencepending: Senate passed_one_chamber

Smart Space Act — through the House, now needs 60 in the Senate: P(≥60) 44% puts enactment at 15%.

✓

passed the House

→

15%

downstream: Senate + President

15%

becomes law

If it reaches the floor

majority

60 (cloture)

Projected 63 yea of 100 voting; 90% interval 47–92 (quartiles 52–77). Intervals are backtest-verified to cover ~90%.

Filibusterable: the realistic Senate line is 60 votes — P(≥60) = 44% (simple-majority P = 93%).

By floor procedure

No vote is scheduled, so the headline marginalizes over how the Senate would take it up; the branches:

Procedure	Likelihood	Projected yea	Passes
conference	19%	67 [48–95]	94%
passage	81%	62 [47–91]	93%

Receipts

Sponsor: Eric Burlison (R). Latest action (2026-03-25): Received in the Senate and Read twice and referred to the Committee on Environment and Public Works.
Full record: Congress.gov.

Forecast run predict-20260606T193507Z · models member-vote-1.0.0-t117d118-20260606 + passage-1.0.0-t117d118-20260606 · conditional whip forecasts for the Senate run at moderate confidence (why).