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H.R. 988 — To amend title 36, United States Code, to move the place of incorporation and domicile of the National Woman's Relief Corps to Illinois, to move the principal office of such Corps to Murphysboro, Illinois, and for other…
53%becomes law
moderate confidencepending: Senate
passed_one_chamber
To amend title 36, United States Code, to move the place of incorpora… — through the House, now needs 60 in the Senate: P(≥60) 44% puts enactment at 53%.
→
53%
downstream: Senate + President
If it reaches the floor
Projected 63 yea of 100 voting; 90% interval 47–92
(quartiles 52–78). Intervals are backtest-verified to cover ~90%.
Filibusterable: the realistic Senate line is
60 votes — P(≥60) = 44%
(simple-majority P = 93%).
By floor procedure
No vote is scheduled, so the headline marginalizes over how the
Senate would take it up; the branches:
| Procedure | Likelihood |
Projected yea | Passes |
|---|
| conference | 19% |
67 [49–94] |
96% |
| passage | 81% |
62 [46–91] |
93% |
Receipts
Sponsor: Mike Bost (R). Latest action (2026-02-03):
Received in the Senate and Read twice and referred to the Committee on the Judiciary.
Full record: Congress.gov.
Forecast run predict-20260606T193507Z · models
member-vote-1.0.0-t117d118-20260606 +
passage-1.0.0-t117d118-20260606 · conditional whip forecasts for the
Senate run at moderate confidence (why).