H.Res. 1007 — Expressing the sense of the House of Representatives with respect to the use of artificial intelligence in the financial services and housing industries.

<1%becomes law high confidencepending: House on_calendar

Expressing the sense of the House of Representatives with respect to… — on the calendar, quiet for 79 days; 23% to reach the floor, <1% to become law.

23%

reaches a floor vote

>99%

passes if voted (stage model)

<1%

survives downstream

<1%

becomes law

The gap: on the floor this would pass — 93% by the member-vote simulation — but the floor is the hard part: 23% to ever get the vote. That gap, not the whip count, is the story.

If it reaches the floor

majority

Projected 307 yea of 430 voting; 90% interval 206–416 (quartiles 217–391). Intervals are backtest-verified to cover ~90%.

By floor procedure

No vote is scheduled, so the headline marginalizes over how the House would take it up; the branches:

Procedure	Likelihood	Projected yea	Passes
resolution	63%	282 [198–407]	90%
suspension	37%	350 [218–419]	99%

Receipts

Sponsor: Bryan Steil (R). Latest action (2026-03-19): Placed on the House Calendar, Calendar No. 67.
Full record: Congress.gov.

Forecast run predict-20260606T193507Z · models member-vote-1.0.0-t117d118-20260606 + passage-1.0.0-t117d118-20260606 · conditional whip forecasts for the Senate run at moderate confidence (why).