← all forecasts
H.Res. 1042 — Providing for consideration of the bill (H.R. 2189) to modernize Federal firearms laws to account for advancements in technology and less-than-lethal weapons, and for other purposes; providing for consideration of the b…
—becomes law
high confidencepending: House
on_calendar
Providing for consideration of the bill (H.R. 2189) to modernize Fede… — on the calendar, quiet for 116 days; — to reach the floor, — to become law.
×
—
passes if voted (stage model)
If it reaches the floor
Projected 287 yea of 430 voting; 90% interval 204–415
(quartiles 213–367). Intervals are backtest-verified to cover ~90%.
By floor procedure
No vote is scheduled, so the headline marginalizes over how the
House would take it up; the branches:
| Procedure | Likelihood |
Projected yea | Passes |
|---|
| resolution | 63% |
255 [194–385] |
86% |
| suspension | 37% |
342 [217–419] |
>99% |
Receipts
Sponsor: Nicholas A. Langworthy (R). Latest action (2026-02-10):
Motion to reconsider laid on the table Agreed to without objection.
Full record: Congress.gov.
Forecast run predict-20260606T193507Z · models
member-vote-1.0.0-t117d118-20260606 +
passage-1.0.0-t117d118-20260606 · conditional whip forecasts for the
Senate run at moderate confidence (why).