H.Res. 1175 — Providing for consideration of the bill (H.R. 8035) to amend the FISA Amendments Act of 2008 to extend the authorities of title VII of the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act of 1978 through October 20, 2027, and for…

—becomes law high confidencepending: House on_calendar

H.R. 8035) to amend the FISA Amendments Act — on the calendar, quiet for 50 days; — to reach the floor, — to become law.

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reaches a floor vote

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passes if voted (stage model)

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survives downstream

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becomes law

If it reaches the floor

majority

Projected 286 yea of 430 voting; 90% interval 202–414 (quartiles 213–362). Intervals are backtest-verified to cover ~90%.

By floor procedure

No vote is scheduled, so the headline marginalizes over how the House would take it up; the branches:

Procedure	Likelihood	Projected yea	Passes
resolution	63%	257 [188–386]	87%
suspension	37%	336 [214–418]	99%

Receipts

Sponsor: Austin Scott (R). Latest action (2026-04-17): Motion to reconsider laid on the table Agreed to without objection.
Full record: Congress.gov.

Forecast run predict-20260606T193507Z · models member-vote-1.0.0-t117d118-20260606 + passage-1.0.0-t117d118-20260606 · conditional whip forecasts for the Senate run at moderate confidence (why).