H.Res. 282 — Providing for consideration of the joint resolution (S.J. Res. 18) disapproving the rule submitted by the Bureau of Consumer Financial Protection relating to "Overdraft Lending: Very Large Financial Institutions''; prov…

—becomes law high confidencepending: House on_calendar

Providing for consideration of the joint resolution (S.J. Res. 18) di… — on the calendar, quiet for 431 days; — to reach the floor, — to become law.

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reaches a floor vote

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passes if voted (stage model)

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survives downstream

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becomes law

If it reaches the floor

majority

Projected 283 yea of 430 voting; 90% interval 203–415 (quartiles 213–359). Intervals are backtest-verified to cover ~90%.

By floor procedure

No vote is scheduled, so the headline marginalizes over how the House would take it up; the branches:

Procedure	Likelihood	Projected yea	Passes
resolution	63%	251 [191–377]	86%
suspension	37%	339 [219–418]	99%

Receipts

Sponsor: H. Morgan Griffith (R). Latest action (2025-04-01): Motion to reconsider laid on the table Agreed to without objection.
Full record: Congress.gov.

Forecast run predict-20260606T193507Z · models member-vote-1.0.0-t117d118-20260606 + passage-1.0.0-t117d118-20260606 · conditional whip forecasts for the Senate run at moderate confidence (why).