H.Res. 598 — Providing for the adoption of the resolution (H. Res. 589) providing for the public release of certain documents, records, and communications related to the investigation of Jeffrey Epstein.

<1%becomes law high confidencepending: House on_calendar

Providing for the adoption of the resolution (H. Res. 589) providing… — would clear the House (91%) but only <1% to ever get the vote.

<1%

reaches a floor vote

99%

passes if voted (stage model)

<1%

survives downstream

<1%

becomes law

The gap: on the floor this would pass — 91% by the member-vote simulation — but the floor is the hard part: <1% to ever get the vote. That gap, not the whip count, is the story.

If it reaches the floor

majority

Projected 287 yea of 430 voting; 90% interval 204–414 (quartiles 213–362). Intervals are backtest-verified to cover ~90%.

By floor procedure

No vote is scheduled, so the headline marginalizes over how the House would take it up; the branches:

Procedure	Likelihood	Projected yea	Passes
resolution	63%	256 [194–382]	87%
suspension	37%	340 [214–417]	99%

Receipts

Sponsor: Austin Scott (R). Latest action (2025-09-03): Pursuant to the provisions of H. Res. 672, H. Res. 598 is laid on the table.
Full record: Congress.gov.

Forecast run predict-20260606T193507Z · models member-vote-1.0.0-t117d118-20260606 + passage-1.0.0-t117d118-20260606 · conditional whip forecasts for the Senate run at moderate confidence (why).