S. 1049 — Preventing Child Trafficking Act of 2025

34%becomes law high confidencepending: House passed_one_chamber

Preventing Child Trafficking Act — Senate-passed, waiting on the House, quiet for 171 days; projected 330 yea if called, enactment 34%.

✓

passed the Senate

→

34%

downstream: House + President

34%

becomes law

If it reaches the floor

majority

Projected 330 yea of 430 voting; 90% interval 213–417 (quartiles 264–402). Intervals are backtest-verified to cover ~90%.

By floor procedure

No vote is scheduled, so the headline marginalizes over how the House would take it up; the branches:

Procedure	Likelihood	Projected yea	Passes
passage	12%	304 [200–414]	91%
suspension	88%	333 [215–417]	98%

Receipts

Sponsor: Jon Ossoff (D). Latest action (2025-12-17): Held at the desk.
Full record: Congress.gov.

Forecast run predict-20260606T193507Z · models member-vote-1.0.0-t117d118-20260606 + passage-1.0.0-t117d118-20260606 · conditional whip forecasts for the Senate run at moderate confidence (why).