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S. 1051 — Historic Greenwood District—Black Wall Street National Monument Establishment Act
26%becomes law
high confidencepending: House
passed_one_chamber
Historic Greenwood District—Black Wall Street National Monu… — Senate-passed, waiting on the House, quiet for 376 days; projected 331 yea if called, enactment 26%.
→
26%
downstream: House + President
If it reaches the floor
Projected 331 yea of 430 voting; 90% interval 211–418
(quartiles 264–407). Intervals are backtest-verified to cover ~90%.
By floor procedure
No vote is scheduled, so the headline marginalizes over how the
House would take it up; the branches:
| Procedure | Likelihood |
Projected yea | Passes |
|---|
| passage | 12% |
259 [191–393] |
86% |
| suspension | 88% |
341 [217–418] |
98% |
Receipts
Sponsor: James Lankford (R). Latest action (2025-05-26):
Held at the desk.
Full record: Congress.gov.
Forecast run predict-20260606T193507Z · models
member-vote-1.0.0-t117d118-20260606 +
passage-1.0.0-t117d118-20260606 · conditional whip forecasts for the
Senate run at moderate confidence (why).