S. 1070 — National STEM Week Act

31%becomes law high confidencepending: House passed_one_chamber

National STEM Week Act — Senate-passed, waiting on the House, quiet for 95 days; projected 338 yea if called, enactment 31%.

✓

passed the Senate

→

31%

downstream: House + President

31%

becomes law

If it reaches the floor

majority

Projected 338 yea of 430 voting; 90% interval 214–418 (quartiles 274–407). Intervals are backtest-verified to cover ~90%.

By floor procedure

No vote is scheduled, so the headline marginalizes over how the House would take it up; the branches:

Procedure	Likelihood	Projected yea	Passes
passage	12%	286 [201–410]	90%
suspension	88%	345 [220–418]	>99%

Receipts

Sponsor: Joni Ernst (R). Latest action (2026-03-03): Held at the desk.
Full record: Congress.gov.

Forecast run predict-20260606T193507Z · models member-vote-1.0.0-t117d118-20260606 + passage-1.0.0-t117d118-20260606 · conditional whip forecasts for the Senate run at moderate confidence (why).