S. 1473 — Stop Stealing our Chips Act

41%becomes law high confidencepending: House passed_one_chamber

Stop Stealing our Chips Act — Senate-passed, waiting on the House; projected 333 yea if called, enactment 41%.

✓

passed the Senate

→

41%

downstream: House + President

41%

becomes law

If it reaches the floor

majority

Projected 333 yea of 430 voting; 90% interval 213–417 (quartiles 270–405). Intervals are backtest-verified to cover ~90%.

By floor procedure

No vote is scheduled, so the headline marginalizes over how the House would take it up; the branches:

Procedure	Likelihood	Projected yea	Passes
passage	12%	290 [204–411]	93%
suspension	88%	338 [215–417]	98%

Receipts

Sponsor: Mike Rounds (R). Latest action (2026-05-21): Held at the desk.
Full record: Congress.gov.

Forecast run predict-20260606T193507Z · models member-vote-1.0.0-t117d118-20260606 + passage-1.0.0-t117d118-20260606 · conditional whip forecasts for the Senate run at moderate confidence (why).