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S. 1510 — Civil Rights Cold Case Records Collection Reauthorization Act
30%becomes law
high confidencepending: House
passed_one_chamber
Civil Rights Cold Case Records Collection Reauthorization A… — Senate-passed, waiting on the House, quiet for 172 days; projected 306 yea if called, enactment 30%.
→
30%
downstream: House + President
If it reaches the floor
Projected 306 yea of 430 voting; 90% interval 208–414
(quartiles 223–395). Intervals are backtest-verified to cover ~90%.
By floor procedure
No vote is scheduled, so the headline marginalizes over how the
House would take it up; the branches:
| Procedure | Likelihood |
Projected yea | Passes |
|---|
| passage | 12% |
289 [196–409] |
92% |
| suspension | 88% |
308 [208–414] |
95% |
Receipts
Sponsor: Ted Cruz (R). Latest action (2025-12-16):
Held at the desk.
Full record: Congress.gov.
Forecast run predict-20260606T193507Z · models
member-vote-1.0.0-t117d118-20260606 +
passage-1.0.0-t117d118-20260606 · conditional whip forecasts for the
Senate run at moderate confidence (why).