← all forecasts
S. 154 — Colorado River Basin System Conservation Extension Act
26%becomes law
high confidencepending: House
passed_one_chamber
Colorado River Basin System Conservation Extension Act — Senate-passed, waiting on the House, quiet for 348 days; projected 337 yea if called, enactment 26%.
→
26%
downstream: House + President
If it reaches the floor
Projected 337 yea of 430 voting; 90% interval 216–417
(quartiles 289–401). Intervals are backtest-verified to cover ~90%.
By floor procedure
No vote is scheduled, so the headline marginalizes over how the
House would take it up; the branches:
| Procedure | Likelihood |
Projected yea | Passes |
|---|
| passage | 12% |
305 [202–412] |
93% |
| suspension | 88% |
341 [220–417] |
99% |
Receipts
Sponsor: John W. Hickenlooper (D). Latest action (2025-06-23):
Held at the desk.
Full record: Congress.gov.
Forecast run predict-20260606T193507Z · models
member-vote-1.0.0-t117d118-20260606 +
passage-1.0.0-t117d118-20260606 · conditional whip forecasts for the
Senate run at moderate confidence (why).