S. 2 — Secure America Act

30%becomes law high confidencepending: House passed_one_chamber

Secure America Act — Senate-passed, waiting on the House; projected 315 yea if called, enactment 30%.

✓

passed the Senate

→

30%

downstream: House + President

30%

becomes law

If it reaches the floor

majority

Projected 315 yea of 430 voting; 90% interval 209–416 (quartiles 236–402). Intervals are backtest-verified to cover ~90%.

By floor procedure

No vote is scheduled, so the headline marginalizes over how the House would take it up; the branches:

Procedure	Likelihood	Projected yea	Passes
passage	12%	257 [179–382]	82%
suspension	88%	323 [213–416]	98%

Receipts

Sponsor: Lindsey Graham (R). Latest action (2026-06-05): Message on Senate action sent to the House.
Full record: Congress.gov.

Forecast run predict-20260606T193507Z · models member-vote-1.0.0-t117d118-20260606 + passage-1.0.0-t117d118-20260606 · conditional whip forecasts for the Senate run at moderate confidence (why).