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S. 2110 — REUSE Act of 2025
33%becomes law
high confidencepending: House
passed_one_chamber
REUSE Act — Senate-passed, waiting on the House, quiet for 198 days; projected 319 yea if called, enactment 33%.
→
33%
downstream: House + President
=
If it reaches the floor
Projected 319 yea of 430 voting; 90% interval 210–416
(quartiles 254–396). Intervals are backtest-verified to cover ~90%.
By floor procedure
No vote is scheduled, so the headline marginalizes over how the
House would take it up; the branches:
| Procedure | Likelihood |
Projected yea | Passes |
|---|
| passage | 12% |
291 [195–412] |
90% |
| suspension | 88% |
322 [212–416] |
97% |
Receipts
Sponsor: Jeff Merkley (D). Latest action (2025-11-20):
Held at the desk.
Full record: Congress.gov.
Forecast run predict-20260606T193507Z · models
member-vote-1.0.0-t117d118-20260606 +
passage-1.0.0-t117d118-20260606 · conditional whip forecasts for the
Senate run at moderate confidence (why).