S. 257 — Promoting Resilient Supply Chains Act of 2025

18%becomes law high confidencepending: House passed_one_chamber

Promoting Resilient Supply Chains Act — Senate-passed, waiting on the House, quiet for 72 days; projected 346 yea if called, enactment 18%.

✓

passed the Senate

→

18%

downstream: House + President

18%

becomes law

If it reaches the floor

majority

Projected 346 yea of 430 voting; 90% interval 219–418 (quartiles 308–405). Intervals are backtest-verified to cover ~90%.

By floor procedure

No vote is scheduled, so the headline marginalizes over how the House would take it up; the branches:

Procedure	Likelihood	Projected yea	Passes
passage	12%	305 [192–415]	91%
suspension	88%	352 [227–418]	99%

Receipts

Sponsor: Maria Cantwell (D). Latest action (2026-03-26): Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs. Hearings held.
Full record: Congress.gov.

Forecast run predict-20260606T193507Z · models member-vote-1.0.0-t117d118-20260606 + passage-1.0.0-t117d118-20260606 · conditional whip forecasts for the Senate run at moderate confidence (why).