S. 2666 — Foreign Robocall Elimination Act

11%becomes law moderate confidencepending: Senate on_calendar

Foreign Robocall Elimination Act — on the calendar; 38% to reach the floor, 11% to become law.

38%

reaches a floor vote

>99%

passes if voted (stage model)

28%

survives downstream

11%

becomes law

If it reaches the floor

majority

60 (cloture)

Projected 65 yea of 100 voting; 90% interval 46–93 (quartiles 53–81). Intervals are backtest-verified to cover ~90%.

Filibusterable: the realistic Senate line is 60 votes — P(≥60) = 48% (simple-majority P = 94%).

By floor procedure

No vote is scheduled, so the headline marginalizes over how the Senate would take it up; the branches:

Procedure	Likelihood	Projected yea	Passes
conference	5%	69 [50–95]	96%
passage	95%	65 [46–93]	93%

Receipts

Sponsor: Ted Budd (R). Latest action (2026-06-01): Placed on Senate Legislative Calendar under General Orders. Calendar No. 422.
Full record: Congress.gov.

Forecast run predict-20260606T193507Z · models member-vote-1.0.0-t117d118-20260606 + passage-1.0.0-t117d118-20260606 · conditional whip forecasts for the Senate run at moderate confidence (why).