S. 2682 — Captain Paul W. 'Bud' Bucha VA Medical Center Act of 2025

58%becomes law high confidencepending: House passed_one_chamber

Captain Paul W. 'Bud' Bucha VA Medical Center Act — Senate-passed, waiting on the House, quiet for 302 days; projected 348 yea if called, enactment 58%.

✓

passed the Senate

→

58%

downstream: House + President

58%

becomes law

If it reaches the floor

majority

Projected 348 yea of 430 voting; 90% interval 223–418 (quartiles 307–407). Intervals are backtest-verified to cover ~90%.

By floor procedure

No vote is scheduled, so the headline marginalizes over how the House would take it up; the branches:

Procedure	Likelihood	Projected yea	Passes
passage	12%	298 [205–410]	94%
suspension	88%	354 [227–418]	99%

Receipts

Sponsor: Richard Blumenthal (D). Latest action (2025-08-08): Held at the desk.
Full record: Congress.gov.

Forecast run predict-20260606T193507Z · models member-vote-1.0.0-t117d118-20260606 + passage-1.0.0-t117d118-20260606 · conditional whip forecasts for the Senate run at moderate confidence (why).