S. 282 — Katahdin Woods and Waters National Monument Access Act

35%becomes law high confidencepending: House passed_one_chamber

Katahdin Woods and Waters National Monument Access Act — Senate-passed, waiting on the House, quiet for 116 days; projected 337 yea if called, enactment 35%.

✓

passed the Senate

→

35%

downstream: House + President

35%

becomes law

If it reaches the floor

majority

Projected 337 yea of 430 voting; 90% interval 211–417 (quartiles 285–405). Intervals are backtest-verified to cover ~90%.

By floor procedure

No vote is scheduled, so the headline marginalizes over how the House would take it up; the branches:

Procedure	Likelihood	Projected yea	Passes
passage	12%	257 [138–393]	77%
suspension	88%	347 [221–417]	>99%

Receipts

Sponsor: Angus S. King, Jr. (I). Latest action (2026-02-10): Subcommittee Hearings Held
Full record: Congress.gov.

Forecast run predict-20260606T193507Z · models member-vote-1.0.0-t117d118-20260606 + passage-1.0.0-t117d118-20260606 · conditional whip forecasts for the Senate run at moderate confidence (why).