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S. 2975 — PIPELINE Safety Act of 2025

24%becomes law high confidencepending: House passed_one_chamber

PIPELINE Safety Act — Senate-passed, waiting on the House, quiet for 33 days; projected 313 yea if called, enactment 24%.

passed the Senate
24%
downstream: House + President
=
24%
becomes law

If it reaches the floor

majority

Projected 313 yea of 430 voting; 90% interval 209–415 (quartiles 227–396). Intervals are backtest-verified to cover ~90%.

By floor procedure

No vote is scheduled, so the headline marginalizes over how the House would take it up; the branches:

ProcedureLikelihood Projected yeaPasses
passage12% 288 [206–407] 91%
suspension88% 316 [210–415] 96%

Receipts

Sponsor: Ted Cruz (R). Latest action (2026-05-04): Held at the desk.
Full record: Congress.gov.

Forecast run predict-20260606T193507Z · models member-vote-1.0.0-t117d118-20260606 + passage-1.0.0-t117d118-20260606 · conditional whip forecasts for the Senate run at moderate confidence (why).