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S. 3022 — Save Our Seas 2.0 Marine Debris Infrastructure Programs Reauthorization Act
36%becomes law
high confidencepending: House
passed_one_chamber
Save Our Seas 2.0 Marine Debris Infrastructure Programs Rea… — Senate-passed, waiting on the House, quiet for 198 days; projected 307 yea if called, enactment 36%.
→
36%
downstream: House + President
If it reaches the floor
Projected 307 yea of 430 voting; 90% interval 207–415
(quartiles 226–395). Intervals are backtest-verified to cover ~90%.
By floor procedure
No vote is scheduled, so the headline marginalizes over how the
House would take it up; the branches:
| Procedure | Likelihood |
Projected yea | Passes |
|---|
| passage | 12% |
265 [178–380] |
83% |
| suspension | 88% |
312 [210–415] |
96% |
Receipts
Sponsor: Dan Sullivan (R). Latest action (2025-11-20):
Held at the desk.
Full record: Congress.gov.
Forecast run predict-20260606T193507Z · models
member-vote-1.0.0-t117d118-20260606 +
passage-1.0.0-t117d118-20260606 · conditional whip forecasts for the
Senate run at moderate confidence (why).