S. 306 — Fire Ready Nation Act of 2025

32%becomes law high confidencepending: House passed_one_chamber

Fire Ready Nation Act — Senate-passed, waiting on the House, quiet for 268 days; projected 346 yea if called, enactment 32%.

✓

passed the Senate

→

32%

downstream: House + President

32%

becomes law

If it reaches the floor

majority

Projected 346 yea of 430 voting; 90% interval 221–418 (quartiles 303–405). Intervals are backtest-verified to cover ~90%.

By floor procedure

No vote is scheduled, so the headline marginalizes over how the House would take it up; the branches:

Procedure	Likelihood	Projected yea	Passes
passage	12%	322 [206–417]	94%
suspension	88%	349 [224–418]	99%

Receipts

Sponsor: Maria Cantwell (D). Latest action (2025-09-11): Held at the desk.
Full record: Congress.gov.

Forecast run predict-20260606T193507Z · models member-vote-1.0.0-t117d118-20260606 + passage-1.0.0-t117d118-20260606 · conditional whip forecasts for the Senate run at moderate confidence (why).