S. 327 — HONOR Act

24%becomes law high confidencepending: House passed_one_chamber

HONOR Act — Senate-passed, waiting on the House, quiet for 82 days; projected 337 yea if called, enactment 24%.

✓

passed the Senate

→

24%

downstream: House + President

24%

becomes law

If it reaches the floor

majority

Projected 337 yea of 430 voting; 90% interval 215–418 (quartiles 279–405). Intervals are backtest-verified to cover ~90%.

By floor procedure

No vote is scheduled, so the headline marginalizes over how the House would take it up; the branches:

Procedure	Likelihood	Projected yea	Passes
passage	12%	306 [203–412]	91%
suspension	88%	341 [217–418]	99%

Receipts

Sponsor: Catherine Cortez Masto (D). Latest action (2026-03-16): Held at the desk.
Full record: Congress.gov.

Forecast run predict-20260606T193507Z · models member-vote-1.0.0-t117d118-20260606 + passage-1.0.0-t117d118-20260606 · conditional whip forecasts for the Senate run at moderate confidence (why).