← all forecasts
S. 603 — A bill to designate the General George C. Marshall House in the Commonwealth of Virginia, as an affiliated area of the National Park System, and for other purposes.
30%becomes law
high confidencepending: House
passed_one_chamber
Designate the General George C. Marshall House in the Commonwealth of… — Senate-passed, waiting on the House; projected 339 yea if called, enactment 30%.
→
30%
downstream: House + President
=
If it reaches the floor
Projected 339 yea of 430 voting; 90% interval 214–417
(quartiles 293–404). Intervals are backtest-verified to cover ~90%.
By floor procedure
No vote is scheduled, so the headline marginalizes over how the
House would take it up; the branches:
| Procedure | Likelihood |
Projected yea | Passes |
|---|
| passage | 12% |
279 [123–409] |
84% |
| suspension | 88% |
347 [223–417] |
99% |
Receipts
Sponsor: Tim Kaine (D). Latest action (2026-05-20):
Held at the desk.
Full record: Congress.gov.
Forecast run predict-20260606T193507Z · models
member-vote-1.0.0-t117d118-20260606 +
passage-1.0.0-t117d118-20260606 · conditional whip forecasts for the
Senate run at moderate confidence (why).