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S. 621 — A bill to accept the request to revoke the charter of incorporation of the Lower Sioux Indian Community in the State of Minnesota at the request of that Community, and for other purposes.
47%becomes law
high confidencepending: House
passed_one_chamber
Accept the request to revoke the charter of incorporation of the Lowe… — cleared the Senate by consent; waiting on the House, quiet for 173 days. The ~47% is the model hedging: House scheduling, not support, decides this class, and we can't yet tell its members apart.
→
47%
downstream: House + President
If it reaches the floor
Projected 337 yea of 430 voting; 90% interval 215–417
(quartiles 290–402). Intervals are backtest-verified to cover ~90%.
By floor procedure
No vote is scheduled, so the headline marginalizes over how the
House would take it up; the branches:
| Procedure | Likelihood |
Projected yea | Passes |
|---|
| passage | 12% |
275 [171–409] |
85% |
| suspension | 88% |
345 [221–417] |
99% |
Receipts
Sponsor: Tina Smith (D). Latest action (2025-12-15):
Held at the desk.
Full record: Congress.gov.
Forecast run predict-20260606T193507Z · models
member-vote-1.0.0-t117d118-20260606 +
passage-1.0.0-t117d118-20260606 · conditional whip forecasts for the
Senate run at moderate confidence (why).