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S. 688 — Fighting Foreign Illegal Seafood Harvests Act of 2025
46%becomes law
high confidencepending: House
passed_one_chamber
Fighting Foreign Illegal Seafood Harvests Act — Senate-passed, waiting on the House, quiet for 74 days; projected 335 yea if called, enactment 46%.
→
46%
downstream: House + President
If it reaches the floor
Projected 335 yea of 430 voting; 90% interval 213–417
(quartiles 273–407). Intervals are backtest-verified to cover ~90%.
By floor procedure
No vote is scheduled, so the headline marginalizes over how the
House would take it up; the branches:
| Procedure | Likelihood |
Projected yea | Passes |
|---|
| passage | 12% |
272 [178–403] |
88% |
| suspension | 88% |
344 [219–418] |
>99% |
Receipts
Sponsor: Dan Sullivan (R). Latest action (2026-03-24):
Held at the desk.
Full record: Congress.gov.
Forecast run predict-20260606T193507Z · models
member-vote-1.0.0-t117d118-20260606 +
passage-1.0.0-t117d118-20260606 · conditional whip forecasts for the
Senate run at moderate confidence (why).