S. 843 — Sea Turtle Rescue Assistance and Rehabilitation Act of 2025

41%becomes law high confidencepending: House passed_one_chamber

Sea Turtle Rescue Assistance and Rehabilitation Act — Senate-passed, waiting on the House, quiet for 74 days; projected 320 yea if called, enactment 41%.

✓

passed the Senate

→

41%

downstream: House + President

41%

becomes law

If it reaches the floor

majority

Projected 320 yea of 430 voting; 90% interval 208–415 (quartiles 266–389). Intervals are backtest-verified to cover ~90%.

By floor procedure

No vote is scheduled, so the headline marginalizes over how the House would take it up; the branches:

Procedure	Likelihood	Projected yea	Passes
passage	12%	289 [176–412]	86%
suspension	88%	324 [211–416]	96%

Receipts

Sponsor: Edward J. Markey (D). Latest action (2026-03-24): Held at the desk.
Full record: Congress.gov.

Forecast run predict-20260606T193507Z · models member-vote-1.0.0-t117d118-20260606 + passage-1.0.0-t117d118-20260606 · conditional whip forecasts for the Senate run at moderate confidence (why).