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S. 97 — Securing Semiconductor Supply Chains Act

20%becomes law high confidencepending: House passed_one_chamber

Securing Semiconductor Supply Chains Act — Senate-passed, waiting on the House, quiet for 376 days; projected 343 yea if called, enactment 20%.

passed the Senate
20%
downstream: House + President
=
20%
becomes law

If it reaches the floor

majority

Projected 343 yea of 430 voting; 90% interval 218–417 (quartiles 301–404). Intervals are backtest-verified to cover ~90%.

By floor procedure

No vote is scheduled, so the headline marginalizes over how the House would take it up; the branches:

ProcedureLikelihood Projected yeaPasses
passage12% 297 [182–413] 88%
suspension88% 349 [224–418] 98%

Receipts

Sponsor: Gary C. Peters (D). Latest action (2025-05-26): Held at the desk.
Full record: Congress.gov.

Forecast run predict-20260606T193507Z · models member-vote-1.0.0-t117d118-20260606 + passage-1.0.0-t117d118-20260606 · conditional whip forecasts for the Senate run at moderate confidence (why).