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S. 99 — Strengthening Support for American Manufacturing Act
21%becomes law
high confidencepending: House
passed_one_chamber
Strengthening Support for American Manufacturing Act — Senate-passed, waiting on the House, quiet for 225 days; projected 344 yea if called, enactment 21%.
→
21%
downstream: House + President
If it reaches the floor
Projected 344 yea of 430 voting; 90% interval 220–418
(quartiles 303–405). Intervals are backtest-verified to cover ~90%.
By floor procedure
No vote is scheduled, so the headline marginalizes over how the
House would take it up; the branches:
| Procedure | Likelihood |
Projected yea | Passes |
|---|
| passage | 12% |
302 [187–414] |
91% |
| suspension | 88% |
350 [224–418] |
99% |
Receipts
Sponsor: Gary C. Peters (D). Latest action (2025-10-24):
Held at the desk.
Full record: Congress.gov.
Forecast run predict-20260606T193507Z · models
member-vote-1.0.0-t117d118-20260606 +
passage-1.0.0-t117d118-20260606 · conditional whip forecasts for the
Senate run at moderate confidence (why).