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S.Con.Res. 25 — A concurrent resolution recognizing the 15th anniversary of the January 8, 2011, Tucson, Arizona, shooting and honoring the survivors and victims, including former Congresswoman Gabby Giffords, a gun violence survivor a…
1%becomes law
high confidencepending: House
passed_one_chamber
Recognizing the 15th anniversary of the January 8, 2011, Tucson, Ariz… — Senate-passed, waiting on the House, quiet for 113 days; projected 312 yea if called, enactment 1%.
→
1%
downstream: House + President
If it reaches the floor
Projected 312 yea of 430 voting; 90% interval 205–416
(quartiles 240–393). Intervals are backtest-verified to cover ~90%.
By floor procedure
No vote is scheduled, so the headline marginalizes over how the
House would take it up; the branches:
| Procedure | Likelihood |
Projected yea | Passes |
|---|
| passage | 24% |
285 [183–411] |
87% |
| resolution | 22% |
277 [165–409] |
86% |
| suspension | 55% |
337 [218–417] |
99% |
Receipts
Sponsor: Kirsten E. Gillibrand (D). Latest action (2026-02-13):
Held at the desk.
Full record: Congress.gov.
Forecast run predict-20260606T193507Z · models
member-vote-1.0.0-t117d118-20260606 +
passage-1.0.0-t117d118-20260606 · conditional whip forecasts for the
Senate run at moderate confidence (why).