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S.Con.Res. 7 — An original concurrent resolution setting forth the congressional budget for the United States Government for fiscal year 2025 and setting forth the appropriate budgetary levels for fiscal years 2026 through 2034.
2%becomes law
high confidencepending: House
passed_one_chamber
An original concurrent resolution setting forth the congressional bud… — must-pass class. Waiting on the house, quiet for 470 days; the 2% reflects timing risk, not whether something passes.
→
2%
downstream: House + President
If it reaches the floor
Projected 284 yea of 430 voting; 90% interval 194–412
(quartiles 214–365). Intervals are backtest-verified to cover ~90%.
By floor procedure
No vote is scheduled, so the headline marginalizes over how the
House would take it up; the branches:
| Procedure | Likelihood |
Projected yea | Passes |
|---|
| passage | 24% |
258 [175–393] |
81% |
| resolution | 22% |
255 [170–395] |
81% |
| suspension | 55% |
306 [206–415] |
94% |
Receipts
Sponsor: Lindsey Graham (R). Latest action (2025-02-21):
Resolution agreed to in Senate with amendments by Yea-Nay Vote. 52 - 48. Record Vote Number: 87. (text: CR S1119-1125)
Full record: Congress.gov.
Forecast run predict-20260606T193507Z · models
member-vote-1.0.0-t117d118-20260606 +
passage-1.0.0-t117d118-20260606 · conditional whip forecasts for the
Senate run at moderate confidence (why).