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S.J.Res. 3 — A joint resolution providing for congressional disapproval under chapter 8 of title 5, United States Code, of the rule submitted by the Internal Revenue Service relating to "Gross Proceeds Reporting by Brokers That Regu…
4%becomes law
high confidencepending: House
passed_one_chamber
Congressional disapproval under chapter 8 of title 5, United States C… — Senate-passed, waiting on the House, quiet for 451 days; projected 287 yea if called, enactment 4%.
→
4%
downstream: House + President
If it reaches the floor
Projected 287 yea of 430 voting; 90% interval 204–413
(quartiles 214–373). Intervals are backtest-verified to cover ~90%.
By floor procedure
No vote is scheduled, so the headline marginalizes over how the
House would take it up; the branches:
| Procedure | Likelihood |
Projected yea | Passes |
|---|
| passage | 24% |
255 [196–380] |
85% |
| resolution | 22% |
253 [175–385] |
82% |
| suspension | 55% |
314 [208–416] |
96% |
Receipts
Sponsor: Ted Cruz (R). Latest action (2025-03-12):
Message received in Senate: Returned to the Senate pursuant to the provisions of H.Res. 212.
Full record: Congress.gov.
Forecast run predict-20260606T193507Z · models
member-vote-1.0.0-t117d118-20260606 +
passage-1.0.0-t117d118-20260606 · conditional whip forecasts for the
Senate run at moderate confidence (why).