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S.J.Res. 55 — A joint resolution providing for congressional disapproval under chapter 8 of title 5, United States Code, of the rule submitted by the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration relating to "Federal Motor Vehicle S…
23%becomes law
high confidencepending: House
passed_one_chamber
Congressional disapproval under chapter 8 of title 5, United States C… — Senate-passed, waiting on the House, quiet for 376 days; projected 301 yea if called, enactment 23%.
→
23%
downstream: House + President
If it reaches the floor
Projected 301 yea of 430 voting; 90% interval 204–415
(quartiles 218–387). Intervals are backtest-verified to cover ~90%.
By floor procedure
No vote is scheduled, so the headline marginalizes over how the
House would take it up; the branches:
| Procedure | Likelihood |
Projected yea | Passes |
|---|
| passage | 24% |
276 [189–404] |
87% |
| resolution | 22% |
271 [186–404] |
85% |
| suspension | 55% |
325 [212–417] |
98% |
Receipts
Sponsor: Shelley Moore Capito (R). Latest action (2025-05-26):
Held at the desk.
Full record: Congress.gov.
Forecast run predict-20260606T193507Z · models
member-vote-1.0.0-t117d118-20260606 +
passage-1.0.0-t117d118-20260606 · conditional whip forecasts for the
Senate run at moderate confidence (why).