S.J.Res. 82 — A joint resolution providing for congressional disapproval under chapter 8 of title 5, United States Code, of the rule submitted by the Office of the Secretary of the Department of Health and Human Services relating to…

—becomes law moderate confidencepending: Senate on_calendar

Congressional disapproval under chapter 8 of title 5, United States C… — privileged, so 51 senators settle it: 80% on the floor, — to stick downstream.

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reaches a floor vote

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passes if voted (stage model)

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survives downstream

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becomes law

If it reaches the floor

majority

Projected 63 yea of 100 voting; 90% interval 35–94 (quartiles 51–77). Intervals are backtest-verified to cover ~90%.

Privileged measure (CRA / reconciliation / similar): not filibusterable — a simple majority is the real line.

Receipts

Sponsor: Angus S. King, Jr. (I). Latest action (2025-12-18): Failed of passage in Senate by Yea-Nay Vote. 50 - 50. Record Vote Number: 654.
Full record: Congress.gov.

Forecast run predict-20260606T193507Z · models member-vote-1.0.0-t117d118-20260606 + passage-1.0.0-t117d118-20260606 · conditional whip forecasts for the Senate run at moderate confidence (why).